TrackAI2027 is an independent benchmark tracking project designed to monitor progress toward key predictions from the AI2027 forecast paper. This site aggregates capability, ecosystem, and timeline data to help clarify where we are—and where we might be headed—as AI accelerates.
This site is not affiliated with the authors of AI2027. It independently tracks progress against its public forecasts. For original forecasts, see: ai-2027.com
This bar estimates cumulative progress across all tracked benchmarks on this site. We also include a humorous prediction of arrival timing, affectionately referred to as the "super-intelligence arrival bum-pluck."
Bum-pluck estimate: 2030 (±3 years)
| Milestone | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| GPT-4 or similar replaces junior researcher in closed QA tasks | ACTIVE | Used internally at several orgs for synthesis |
| Autonomous agents complete 30–60 minute tasks | EMERGING | Auto-GPT-style agents show promise |
| AI agents run research pipelines end-to-end | PENDING | Tool use + memory emerging |
| AI executes software projects from prompt to deploy | NOT YET | Modular dev tools emerging |
| Indicator | Status | Evidence |
|---|---|---|
| Nvidia Blackwell shipping | PENDING | Announced but not released |
| AGI-native startups founded | EMERGING | Multiple teams formed with AGI focus |
| Corporate AI labs release agents | EARLY | Google + OpenAI previews shared |
| Popular agents with memory + browsing | EARLY | pi.ai, GPT-4o, Claude 3 Opus |
| Milestone | Expected Year | Confidence |
|---|---|---|
| AI2027 best-guess timeline | 2027 | Low |
| Independent forecast revision | 2029 | Medium |
| Widespread economic impact (>10% GDP boost) | 2030+ | High |